Don't expect millions to die from Coronavirus...
[reason.com]
How many people worldwide will die from COVID-19, the disease caused by a novel coronavirus? Estimates range into the millions, but New York University law professor Richard Epstein says such guesses fail to take into account all the actions that are already taking place to contain and suppress the pandemic.
In an interview conducted via Skype, Epstein, who is also a fellow at the University of Chicago's Center for Clinical Medical Ethics and a podcaster and columnist at Ricochet, explains his math, which draws on his work dealing with the AIDS epidemic in the 1980s and '90s.
yeah, it is minor except that they have been handing out false negatives.and i am at risk.
risk to become one of that small minority that corvid really kicks its ass
I agree with Epstein. The datapack now in circulation and updated today, after Epstein's comments, confirms his prediction of the virus infections flattening out. The US has better information, facilities, resources, and commitment to manage the outbreak. The progression of the disease in the US was similar to China for the first two months because China kept it a secret. But now aware and digging in, I expect the US cases to top out around 10,000, and deaths around 200. We are now around 100, mostly those over 70 and smokers, so this will start moderating here very soon.
The Chinese hardly kept it secret; they went to WHO with their findings last December.
@Holmstrom They arrested Dr. Li Wenliang after he posted a warning on 30 December on the local professional site, and Dr Li signed a statement that he had exaggerated, and was released. He died about a month later because protocols were not in place when he examined an asymptomatic glaucoma patient. And now the Party is blaming the US in the strongest terms.